Story perspectives
Federal Probe Targets Prediction Markets for Insider Trading
4/1/2026
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Story summary
- Federal prosecutors in Manhattan investigate prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, for potential insider trading, led by the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, Jay Clayton.
- Both companies are cooperating with the investigation.
- Jay Clayton warns that fraud and manipulation laws apply to prediction markets.
- California issued an executive order banning state officials from using insider information.
- Arizona filed a criminal case against Kalshi for illegal gambling.
