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Federal Probe Targets Prediction Markets for Insider Trading

4/1/2026

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Story summary
  • Federal prosecutors in Manhattan investigate prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, for potential insider trading, led by the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, Jay Clayton.
  • Both companies are cooperating with the investigation.
  • Jay Clayton warns that fraud and manipulation laws apply to prediction markets.
  • California issued an executive order banning state officials from using insider information.
  • Arizona filed a criminal case against Kalshi for illegal gambling.