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Strait of Hormuz Traffic Surges Amid Iran-U.S. Tensions

4/7/2026

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Story summary
  • Citrini Research reports that 15 ships per day continue to navigate the Strait of Hormuz, signaling partial disruption amid Iran-U.S. tensions.
  • Many vessels reportedly turn off tracking systems, suggesting traffic is higher than official data.
  • Citrini Research anticipates a prolonged disruption that could embed a risk premium in oil markets, favoring longer-dated crude.
  • The firm projects traffic may reach 50% of pre-conflict levels in the next 4–6 weeks.