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Story perspectives

Iran's Military Dominance Erodes Trust and Stability

4/8/2026

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Story summary
  • Shay Khatiri argues in Secrets of Statecraft that Iran is a security state dominated by military interests, eroding public trust and religious legitimacy.
  • He cites the 2009 Green Movement to illustrate this shift.
  • Khatiri examines the prospects for regime change, the role of opposition figures, and the risk of civil conflict.
  • He also discusses the nuclear program’s geopolitical implications and Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz.