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China Forecasts Record Urea Production Amid Export Restrictions

4/8/2026

50 10 Full Breakdown

Center

China's Urea Production

China projects a record 76.5 million tons of urea production in 2026, up 6.3% from 2025.
Domestic demand is 66 million tons, with 43 million tons allocated for agriculture.
Nine new coal-based plants will add 4.9 million tons annually.
Analysts say China may maintain export restrictions to avoid domestic price surges, which heighten India’s interest in securing urea imports amid shortages.

Right

China's Fermented Feed

China's government aims to cut soya bean meal usage by promoting fermented feed, amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions.
The shift would raise fermented feed's market share from 8% to 15% by 2030.
Officials say the policy could reduce soybean meal imports by about 6.3%.
Major firms such as Muyuan Foods are adjusting feed formulations, while farmers face significant changes and concerns about animal health and meat quality.

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China's Urea Production

China projects a record 76.5 million tons of urea production in 2026, up 6.3% from 2025.
Domestic demand is 66 million tons, with 43 million tons allocated for agriculture.
Nine new coal-based plants will add 4.9 million tons annually.
Analysts say China may maintain export restrictions to avoid domestic price surges, which heighten India’s interest in securing urea imports amid shortages.

1 / 2