Story perspectives

CSU Predicts Below-Average 2026 Hurricane Season Amid El Niño

4/9/2026

Summary

Story summary

Colorado State University (CSU) predicts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes due to an emerging El Niño.
Current sea-surface temperatures present mixed signals, with some areas cooler despite generally warmer conditions in the Atlantic, adding uncertainty to predictions.
CSU estimates a 32% chance of a hurricane making landfall in the U.S., which is lower than the historical average.
CSU will update its forecast in July, while the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will release its forecast in late May.

1 of 1

Story summary

Colorado State University (CSU) predicts a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes due to an emerging El Niño.
Current sea-surface temperatures present mixed signals, with some areas cooler despite generally warmer conditions in the Atlantic, adding uncertainty to predictions.
CSU estimates a 32% chance of a hurricane making landfall in the U.S., which is lower than the historical average.
CSU will update its forecast in July, while the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will release its forecast in late May.