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Marathon CEO Predicts 15% Default Rate in Private Credit

4/10/2026

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Story summary
  • Bruce Richards, CEO of Marathon Asset Management, warns of turmoil in private credit due to bad software loans.
  • He predicts direct lending defaults could rise to 15% in the coming years.
  • The current default rate among US private credit borrowers is 9.2%.
  • Morgan Stanley estimates direct lending defaults could reach 8%.