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Poll Shows Lula, Bolsonaro Neck-and-Neck Ahead of Elections

4/11/2026

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Summary

Story summary

A Datafolha poll shows President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro tied for a runoff in the October general elections, at 46% and 45%.
The results mark the first Datafolha poll to place Bolsonaro ahead of Lula, though the margin remains uncertain.
Lula seeks a fourth term, and his lead has shrunk as Bolsonaro gains support since December.
The poll surveyed 2,004 voters across 137 municipalities.

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Story summary

A Datafolha poll shows President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro tied for a runoff in the October general elections, at 46% and 45%.
The results mark the first Datafolha poll to place Bolsonaro ahead of Lula, though the margin remains uncertain.
Lula seeks a fourth term, and his lead has shrunk as Bolsonaro gains support since December.
The poll surveyed 2,004 voters across 137 municipalities.