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Report: Russia Could Force Lithuania's Surrender in 90 Days

4/14/2026

Summary

Story summary

The Baltic Defense Initiative warns Russia could force Lithuania to capitulate within 90 days without crossing the border.
The scenario, set in December 2027, describes a devastating attack with hypersonic missiles and drones and cites more than 200 defense strategies based on France's post-WW II deterrence model.
The Baltic Defense Initiative notes a constitutional flaw in government succession when both the president and the speaker of parliament are incapacitated.

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Story summary

The Baltic Defense Initiative warns Russia could force Lithuania to capitulate within 90 days without crossing the border.
The scenario, set in December 2027, describes a devastating attack with hypersonic missiles and drones and cites more than 200 defense strategies based on France's post-WW II deterrence model.
The Baltic Defense Initiative notes a constitutional flaw in government succession when both the president and the speaker of parliament are incapacitated.