California Gubernatorial Race: Fallout from Swalwell's Exit and Trump's Endorsement

The California gubernatorial race has been significantly reshaped by two major events: the suspension of Representative Eric Swalwell's campaign amid allegations of sexual misconduct and President Donald Trump's endorsement of Republican candidate Steve Hilton. Swalwell's exit, announced on April 12, 2026, followed allegations from multiple women, including a former staff member, which he has denied. His departure leaves a crowded Democratic field in disarray, raising concerns about the party's ability to secure a spot in the general election.

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Swalwell was initially seen as a frontrunner in a race that included several other Democratic candidates, such as former Congresswoman Katie Porter and billionaire climate advocate Tom Steyer. His exit could allow one of these candidates to consolidate support and potentially advance to the general election. Political analysts suggest that Swalwell's supporters may gravitate towards Steyer or Porter, both of whom have been actively campaigning to fill the void left by Swalwell.

Sacramento Bee

Dan Schnur, a political science professor at UC Berkeley, noted, "Donald Trump’s endorsement has all but guaranteed that Steve Hilton will be one of the two candidates in the runoff. Eric Swalwell’s departure has completely eliminated reasonable guesswork on who the other candidate might be."

Sacramento Bee

Trump's endorsement of Hilton, a former Fox News host, has stirred mixed reactions within the Republican Party. Despite Trump's backing, Hilton failed to secure the endorsement of the California Republican Party at its recent convention, where neither he nor his main rival, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, received the necessary votes. This outcome reflects a division within the GOP and raises questions about Trump's influence in the state.

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Hilton's spokesperson claimed victory despite the lack of a formal endorsement, stating, "Chad Bianco left with nothing, and we have Trump’s endorsement." However, the inability to unite behind a single candidate could hinder the Republicans' chances in the upcoming election.

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Democratic strategists have expressed concern over the implications of Swalwell's exit and Trump's endorsement for the party's chances in the general election. The crowded Democratic field, which has struggled with low name recognition and voter apathy, now faces the possibility of being shut out of the runoff entirely. Major labor unions that previously supported Swalwell have withdrawn their backing, further complicating the landscape for Democratic candidates.

Calmatters

In response to Trump's endorsement, San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan criticized the Republican candidates, stating, "I'm running to do the opposite, to lower costs, invest in California's future, and stand up to Washington when it comes after us."

Swalwell’s exit and Trump’s endorsement opens path for Democrats in California governor race

As the primary election approaches on June 2, 2026, the dynamics of the race continue to evolve. Candidates like Steyer and Porter are working to capitalize on Swalwell's exit, while Republicans must navigate their internal divisions to present a united front. The outcome of this election could have significant implications not only for California but also for the broader political landscape as both parties prepare for the upcoming midterms.

Sacramento Bee