Back to today’s briefing

Story perspectives

Lula and Bolsonaro Statistically Tied in Poll for Election

4/15/2026

36 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

A Quaest poll commissioned by Genial shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied for the October general election.
Notably, the survey marks the first time Bolsonaro has led Lula within the margin of error.
The results indicate a competitive political landscape as the election approaches.

1 of 1

Story summary

A Quaest poll commissioned by Genial shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied for the October general election.
Notably, the survey marks the first time Bolsonaro has led Lula within the margin of error.
The results indicate a competitive political landscape as the election approaches.