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Super El Niño Expected in 2026, Risks Increase

4/16/2026

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Story summary
  • Meteorologists warn a 'super El Niño' could develop in 2026, bringing weather to Australia and the Pacific Northwest.
  • The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a 61% chance El Niño forms between May and July 2026.
  • Warmer sea surface temperatures could heighten drought and bushfire risk in Australia and wildfire risk in the Pacific Northwest.
  • Experts caution that El Niño strength does not always correlate with rainfall, urging patience.