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NATO Allies Reject Trump's Blockade, Plan for U.S. Withdrawal

4/17/2026

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Story summary
  • North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies chose diplomacy and rejected U.S. President Donald Trump's Strait of Hormuz blockade.
  • The odds of U.S. withdrawal from NATO by April 30 are 1.1%, up from 1%.
  • This reflects skepticism about U.S. commitment after Italy's Giorgia Meloni declined to back actions.
  • Europe unveiled a contingency plan to replace U.S. command in NATO.
  • Upcoming statements from Trump and NATO officials may influence these odds.