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Australia Faces Economic Strain Amid Rising Rates and Inflation

4/17/2026

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Story summary
  • Australia could face five mortgage-rate hikes by Christmas due to the Iran war.
  • The unemployment rate was 4.3% in March, with unemployment projected to reach 4.9% by late 2026.
  • Rising crude oil prices could push inflation toward 6%.
  • Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate to 5.5% if the conflict continues.
  • Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned that the economic recovery will be prolonged and difficult.