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Canada Faces Entrepreneurial Drought Amid Business Closures

4/17/2026, 12:15:08 PM

Overview of the Current Business Landscape

A recent report from the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) highlights a troubling trend in Canada’s economy, describing it as an “entrepreneurial drought.” This situation has emerged as more businesses are closing than opening, a trend that has persisted since early 2024. The CFIB defines this drought as a sustained period where business exits outpace new entries, with the gap reaching a new high in the last quarter of 2025. In the second quarter of 2025, the closure rate was recorded at 5.6%, while the entry rate fell to 4.9%, marking some of the highest closure rates outside of the pandemic.

Concentration of Business Losses

The report indicates that the losses are particularly concentrated in Ontario, where over 70% of the gap between business closures and openings is occurring. Specific sectors such as transportation, professional services, and finance, insurance, and real estate are experiencing the most significant declines. This concentration raises concerns about the overall health of the Canadian economy and the viability of small businesses.

Challenges Facing Small Businesses

According to the CFIB, many small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are struggling due to various challenges. A survey revealed that two-thirds of small firms feel unsupported by their provincial governments, with only 3% expressing confidence in a clear governmental vision for entrepreneurship. Furthermore, 73% of SMEs lack confidence in the federal government. The primary challenges cited include high costs, tax and payroll pressures, complex regulations, and ongoing labor issues, all exacerbated by global uncertainties.

Criticism of Government Policies

Economist Moshe Lander criticized the current business environment, stating, “It’s a bad business environment,” and noted that businesses have not fully recovered from the impacts of COVID-19 and subsequent economic shocks. The CFIB report also points to the burden of red tape, which disproportionately affects smaller businesses that lack the resources to navigate complex regulations. Lander emphasized that small businesses face significant hurdles compared to larger corporations, which can more easily manage compliance costs.

Market Concentration and Its Implications

The report raises concerns about market concentration, where a few large corporations dominate the economy, leaving little room for small businesses to thrive. The trend of private equity firms acquiring smaller firms may further exacerbate this issue. While consolidation can benefit some companies, the CFIB argues that a healthy economy relies on maintaining space for independent businesses and new market entrants.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “Canada’s economic foundation is crumbling. Governments need to stop just papering over the cracks and really refocus efforts on policies that improve the small business environment,” — Brianna Solberg, CFIB’s Director for the Prairies and the North
  • “Small businesses that have to comply with the same laws as large businesses don’t have access to the accountants, the lawyers, the various departments that can pour over those regulations.” — Moshe Lander, Economist

The CFIB's findings underscore the urgent need for policy reforms to support the small business sector and address the challenges contributing to the ongoing entrepreneurial drought in Canada.