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Rising Housing Costs and the Decline of Labor Participation Among Non-College-Educated Men

4/18/2026, 7:53:01 PM

Core Findings on Living Arrangements and Employment

A recent study by Gabrielle Penrose from the American Institute for Boys and Men reveals a significant trend: non-college-educated men are increasingly living with their parents, which correlates with a decline in their labor force participation. The study indicates that 16% of non-college men now reside with their parents, compared to 8% of their college-educated counterparts. This shift is largely attributed to soaring housing costs, which have risen by 150% since 1960, while wages for non-college-educated men have stagnated. Penrose notes, “There are very real economic forces that are limiting the options for non-college-educated men in the United States.”

The Impact of Housing Costs

The research highlights that a 10% increase in local rents raises the likelihood of non-college-educated men moving back home by 1 percentage point. Geographic constraints, such as mountains and coastlines, exacerbate housing supply issues, leading to higher costs that are not necessarily tied to local wages or job opportunities. Scott Winship, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, emphasizes that cities with higher housing costs naturally see more men living at home due to affordability issues.

Labor Force Participation Decline

Penrose's findings indicate that men living with their parents are 20 percentage points less likely to participate in the labor force compared to those living independently. The study suggests that housing costs could account for approximately one-third of the employment decline among non-college men. Notably, one in five non-college men in their early 30s lives with their parents, with the rate remaining significant into their 40s. Among non-working men at home, 25% have never held a job, a notable increase from 20% in 1980.

Criticism of Current Policies

The study critiques zoning regulations and land use policies that restrict housing construction, arguing that these regulations inadvertently suppress labor force participation among men least equipped to handle rising costs. Penrose states, “When we think about housing policy, maybe we’re just thinking about affordability, but it’s also about getting people in the position where they’re able to access the labor market.” Winship concurs, pointing out that high-cost cities often offer more job opportunities but also present a double-edged sword due to their expensive living conditions.

The Role of Changing Social Dynamics

Winship also highlights a broader societal shift: the decline in marriage rates among younger men, particularly those in the working class. He notes that historically, marriage provided a financial buffer against high housing costs, allowing men to remain independent. The current trend of single men facing financial burdens due to expensive housing is a significant factor in the findings of Penrose's study.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “There are very real economic forces that are limiting the options for non-college-educated men in the United States,” — Gabrielle Penrose, Graduate Student Fellow, American Institute for Boys and Men
  • “It would be surprising if cities with higher housing costs didn’t have more men living at home just because, almost by definition, they’re less affordable,” — Scott Winship, Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
  • “Policies that restrict housing construction inadvertently weaken labor force participation by raising the price of independence,” — Gabrielle Penrose, Graduate Student Fellow, American Institute for Boys and Men

This analysis underscores the complex interplay between rising housing costs, labor market participation, and changing social dynamics affecting non-college-educated men in the United States.