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Story summary
- A large reservoir of heat in the tropical Pacific is reorganizing conditions toward a developing El Niño, increasing the likelihood of a stronger event later this year.
- Warmer water is spreading eastward beneath the surface, affecting seasonal forecasts.
- The NOAA Climate Prediction Center estimates a 62% chance of El Niño developing between June and August 2026.
- This could affect global weather patterns and cause flooding in some regions.
