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Study Warns AMOC Could Weaken Up to 59% by 2100

4/22/2026

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Story summary
  • A new study finds the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation could weaken by 43%–59% by 2100, a decline steeper than earlier predictions.
  • The AMOC helps regulate climates across Europe, Africa, and America.
  • Experts say estimates vary due to different variables, yielding collapse risk or warnings to prepare for AMOC changes.
  • The study emphasizes using multiple observable variables and links sea surface salinity more strongly to AMOC strength.