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Story summary
- The Pentagon reports 415 U.S. troops wounded in Iran, signaling increased ground involvement.
- Prediction markets show the probability of U.S. forces entering Iran rising to 25%.
- Despite the casualties, the market for a formal declaration of war remains at 6%.
- Trading activity shows cautious sentiment with modest volumes and a stable order book.
- Upcoming U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) updates and potential shifts in Pentagon communication could influence market dynamics.
