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Elites Block Action as AMOC Collapse 50% Likely by Mid-Century

4/24/2026

Summary

Story summary

The report alleges elite interests have blocked action on the looming Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse, which Professor Stefan Rahmstorf says has over 50% chance of shutting down by mid-century.
A shutdown could drive temperatures to –19 °C in London, –30 °C in Edinburgh, and push sea ice to Lincolnshire.
Researchers warn the collapse would speed sea-level rise, raise Antarctic temperatures by about 6 °C, and raise the risk to high probability.

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Story summary

The report alleges elite interests have blocked action on the looming Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse, which Professor Stefan Rahmstorf says has over 50% chance of shutting down by mid-century.
A shutdown could drive temperatures to –19 °C in London, –30 °C in Edinburgh, and push sea ice to Lincolnshire.
Researchers warn the collapse would speed sea-level rise, raise Antarctic temperatures by about 6 °C, and raise the risk to high probability.