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Markets Boost Trump Pardon's Odds for Ghislaine Maxwell to 22%

4/25/2026

30 2 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Betting markets this week raised the perceived chance of a presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell to 22 percent, up from 7 percent.
U.S. President Donald Trump has not ruled out a pardon for Maxwell.
Rep. Robert Garcia (D-CA) called any pardon outrageous while Rep. James Comer (R-KY) said a pardon looks bad.
Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL) urged the Justice Department to refuse any pardon and fund a new Epstein probe.

History

Historical Context

On September 8 1974 President Gerald Ford issued Proclamation 4311, granting former President Richard Nixon a full pardon for Watergate-related crimes. The move sparked accusations of a “corrupt bargain,” drove Ford’s approval rating from 71 % to 50 %, and contributed to the Republican loss of 43 House seats in the 1974 midterms and Ford’s 1976 defeat.

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Story summary

Betting markets this week raised the perceived chance of a presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell to 22 percent, up from 7 percent.
U.S. President Donald Trump has not ruled out a pardon for Maxwell.
Rep. Robert Garcia (D-CA) called any pardon outrageous while Rep. James Comer (R-KY) said a pardon looks bad.
Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL) urged the Justice Department to refuse any pardon and fund a new Epstein probe.

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