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U.S. 10-Year Yields Stuck, Breakout Near 4.6% Looms

4/28/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have been trapped in a symmetrical triangle for two years.
  • The range tightening has pushed volatility to its lowest Bollinger Bands level since August 1991.
  • Analysts view risk as tilted toward a higher move, with a possible breakout near 4.6% at the top.
  • A fall below the 20-month moving average near 4.23% could trigger a move lower.