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Reform Poised for 1,500 Seats, Labour Drops to Fifth

4/28/2026

50 12 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Labour may drop to fifth in the 2026 English local elections, projected at 19 % and likely to hold only 616 seats.
  • Reform is forecast to win over 1,500 seats, sweeping Runcorn, Sunderland, Thurrock and Basildon.
  • The Greens could secure over 1,000 seats, taking majorities in Hackney and strong showings in Lambeth, Newham and Manchester.
  • Conservatives may lose just under half their seats but could gain in some London wards.