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St. Louis Region Faces Elevated Severe Weather Risk on Monday

4/28/2026, 10:27:37 PM

Elevated Severe Weather Outlook

On Monday, the majority of the St. Louis metropolitan area was placed under a Level 4 (out of 5) risk for severe storms. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) upgraded the outlook from an enhanced to a moderate risk early Monday morning, signaling that all severe weather hazards—large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes—are possible.

Risk Levels, Forecast Timeline, and Expected Hazards

The SPC’s Level 4 designation applies to most of St. Louis County, while most of Pike County, in the northern part of the viewing area, remains under a Level 3 risk. Hazard specifics include hail ranging from baseball-size to softball-size, straight-line winds of 60–80 mph, and tornadoes potentially exceeding EF-2 intensity. The forecast timeline anticipates scattered storms in the late morning, rapid storm development near the I-70/Missouri River corridor from 1 p.m. to 3 p.m., and a main severe-storm window from 3 p.m. to 8 p.m. As a cold front advances, thunderstorms are expected to move east and southeast across the region.

Key Agencies and Expert Commentary

The Storm Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, issued the risk upgrade. Local broadcaster Fox 2 relayed the information and highlighted guidance from Extreme Weather Specialist Chris Higgins, who said atmospheric conditions indicated a rough ride this afternoon into the evening.

Potential Impacts and Public Safety Guidance

The elevated risk raises the likelihood of impacts from hail, wind, and tornadoes. St. Louis city and county emergency management agencies urged residents to maintain multiple warning channels, including cell-phone alerts, NOAA weather radios, and municipal emergency alerts. Fox 2 also recommended tuning to its live broadcast or online stream for real-time updates.

Criticism & Opposition

The sources did not present any dissenting opinions or criticism regarding the forecast or the recommended safety measures.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “LOUIS – All severe weather hazards are on the table Monday as majority of the St.” — Fox 2
  • “The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center announced the upgrade from an enhanced to a moderate risk Monday morning.” — Fox 2
  • “we will be in for a rough ride this afternoon into this evening.” — Chris Higgins, Extreme Weather Specialist
  • “Residents are strongly encouraged to have multiple ways to receive weather warnings throughout the day.” — Fox 2

What’s Next

The forecast indicates that thunderstorms will continue to move east and southeast through the evening. Residents should stay alert for updated warnings.