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Story perspectives

Brazilian presidential race tied in fresh polls.

4/29/2026

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Story summary
  • A recent AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 47.5% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 47.8% in a simulated second-round vote.
  • Earlier March polling gave Bolsonaro 47.6% and Lula 46.6%.
  • A BTG Pactual/Nexus survey on Monday also found the two frontrunners statistically tied.
  • Brazilian law requires a second-round between the top two candidates if no one exceeds 50% of valid votes, a pattern since 2002.