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Triple Lock to Cost £15.5bn, Threatening NHS Funding

4/29/2026

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Story summary
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimates the triple lock will cost £15.5 billion annually by 2029, about three times the original forecast.
  • Conservative minister Kemi Badenoch defended the policy in Basildon, Essex, and said the government will keep the lock.
  • Treasury analysts warn the lock could add up to 1.5 percent of national income (£44 billion), competing with NHS spending for older Britons and proposed £6 billion defence cuts.