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Fed, ECB Keep Rates; Powell’s Final Day, June Hike Looms

4/29/2026

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Story summary
  • The Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) are expected to keep policy rates unchanged at this week’s meetings.
  • May 15 marks Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final day in office.
  • Futures give the 3.625% Fed mid-rate less than a 20% chance of a cut within a year.
  • Analysts warn a 50-basis-point catch-up hike could appear in June if rates stay steady and the Iran-related oil shock persists.