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US Analyzes Iran Reaction, Hormuz Closure Drives Oil Surge

4/29/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. intelligence agencies are reviewing Iran’s likely response to a Trump-declared victory as officials weigh the war’s cost.
  • President Donald Trump has not announced a victory; officials say de-escalation could ease pressure before 2026 midterms but might let Iran rebuild its missile programs.
  • Iran’s Strait of Hormuz closure after April 8 ceasefire raised oil and gasoline prices, leading White House to cancel a Pakistan envoy meeting while keeping attacks an option.