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Hormuz Shutdown Spurs 12% Wheat Surge, Food Prices to Rise

4/30/2026

23 5 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Rising fertilizer and freight costs from the Strait of Hormuz shutdown have driven the recent surge in global grain futures.
  • Wheat futures have risen about 12% since the war began, reaching a two-year peak, with corn prices climbing 6% in two months.
  • Analysts warn El Niño could tighten supplies of palm oil, soybeans and corn, while persistent higher energy costs may keep food prices elevated for 6-18 months.