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Cleveland Beats Toronto 125-120, Leads Series 3-2

5/1/2026

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Summary

Cleveland Advances

Cleveland beat Toronto 125-120 in Game 5, taking a 3-2 series lead.
Dennis Schroder scored 19 points, 11 in the fourth, to spark the comeback.
Evan Mobley added 23 points with three perfect threes.
RJ Barrett posted 25 points, 12 rebounds and five assists for Toronto.
Brandon Ingram left with heel inflammation, Immanuel Quickley sat out, so Toronto must win Game 6 at Scotiabank Arena to stay alive.

Summary

Cavaliers Favored

BetMGM lists the Cavaliers as -180 moneyline favorites, the Raptors at +145, and the over/under at 220.5 points.
Tickets for Game 6 on May 1 start at $161 and rise to $604 for lower-level seats.
Historical data show that teams winning Game 5 in a tied series win the series 82.8% of the time.
A simulation model predicts a 64% chance the Cavaliers will win Game 6 and a 36% chance for the Raptors.

History

Historical Context

In 1994 the New York Knicks, paced by Patrick Ewing, posted a 57-win regular season and seized a 3-2 advantage over the Chicago Bulls, eventually clinching the series in Game 7—a rare playoff triumph against Chicago. The Cavaliers now mirror that scenario, leading the Toronto Raptors 3-2, a lead that historically precedes a series win in most Game 5 outcomes.

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Cleveland Advances

Cleveland beat Toronto 125-120 in Game 5, taking a 3-2 series lead.
Dennis Schroder scored 19 points, 11 in the fourth, to spark the comeback.
Evan Mobley added 23 points with three perfect threes.
RJ Barrett posted 25 points, 12 rebounds and five assists for Toronto.
Brandon Ingram left with heel inflammation, Immanuel Quickley sat out, so Toronto must win Game 6 at Scotiabank Arena to stay alive.

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