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U.S. Debt at 100% GDP, Forecast 120% by 2040

5/1/2026

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Story summary
  • Experts say failure to make fiscal choices caused the debt surge, pushing borrowing to post-World-War II levels.
  • Public debt hit $31.27 trillion, or 100.2 % of GDP, as of March 31, per the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
  • The Congressional Budget Office projects debt-to-GDP will hit 108 % by 2030 and 120 % by 2040.
  • Maya MacGuineas urges halting borrowing to achieve a 3 % of GDP deficit.
  • Marc Goldwein warns debt could raise rates and spur inflation.