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Russia Q1 GDP down 0.3%; Sberbank cuts forecast

5/1/2026

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Story summary
  • Russia's Economy Ministry reported that the $3.1 trillion economy contracted 0.3% in Q1 2026.
  • Sberbank cut its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.5%–1% from 1%–1.5% after the contraction.
  • Mining and manufacturing suffered the sharpest declines, according to Sberbank.
  • Corporate profits fell 33% in the first two months of 2026.
  • The key interest rate remained at 14.5%, which companies said made debt unaffordable.