Back to today’s briefing

Story perspectives

Philippines Q1 GDP Forecast 3%-4%, Inflation Hits 6.2%

5/5/2026

39 8 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

The Philippine Statistics Authority will publish the official Q1 2026 GDP report on Thursday.
Forecasts for Q1 2026 GDP range from 2.9% by Nomura to 3.3% by Deutsche Bank, and a BusinessWorld poll of 21 economists shows a median 3.4%, below the 5%-6% target.
Nomura expects headline inflation to rise to 6.2% in April as higher energy costs spill into fertilizer, transport and food, pushing core inflation to 3.7%.

1 of 1

Story summary

The Philippine Statistics Authority will publish the official Q1 2026 GDP report on Thursday.
Forecasts for Q1 2026 GDP range from 2.9% by Nomura to 3.3% by Deutsche Bank, and a BusinessWorld poll of 21 economists shows a median 3.4%, below the 5%-6% target.
Nomura expects headline inflation to rise to 6.2% in April as higher energy costs spill into fertilizer, transport and food, pushing core inflation to 3.7%.