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22% Amazon Loss Could Trigger Dieback, Lula Vows 2030 End

5/6/2026

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Story summary
  • Scientists warn 22% Amazon deforestation could trigger dieback at 1.5 °C warming.
  • Fifteen percent of the forest is already gone, with a 22-28% loss potentially converting 62-77% to grassland.
  • President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva pledged to end Amazon deforestation by 2030 to avoid dieback.
  • Brazil lost >28,000 km² primary forest in 2024 and lost 0.5% in 2025, with the Amazon now emitting carbon and adding 0.2 °C warming while erasing its biodiversity.