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Story summary
- The Welsh Senedd will expand from 60 to 96 members, with the 16 constituencies set to elect six members through a proportional-representation party-list system on 7 May 2026.
- YouGov projects Plaid Cymru to win 43 seats, Reform UK 34 seats, and Labour’s vote share to drop to 12 %.
- Reform UK leader Nigel Farage called Wales a “basket case” and urged a smash-Labour vote, with Minister Eluned Morgan defending Labour’s 27-year record.
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