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2026 NBA Draft Lottery May 10, Final 3-2-1 Odds

5/9/2026

50 5 Full Breakdown

Summary

NBA Draft Lottery

The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery occurs Sunday, May 10 at 3 p.m., drawing four picks from 14 ping-pong balls, yielding 1,001 combos.
The Wizards, Pacers and Nets have a 14% chance at No. 1; the Jazz and Kings 11.5%; the Grizzlies 9%; Hawks (via New Orleans) 6.8%.
Ernst & Young audits the Chicago draw, ABC will televise it, and it is the final lottery before a 3-2-1 system could change odds next season.

Summary

Clippers Pick Protection

The Indiana Pacers' 2026 pick is protected for 1-4 and 10-30 and will go to the Clippers if it lands at No. 5 or No. 6.
Oklahoma City Thunder will send player-turned-executive Nick Collison as its lottery representative and owns Clippers’ 2026 first-round pick, which has a 1.5% chance to be No. 1 overall.
Atlanta Hawks will get better of Pelicans’ or Bucks’ picks, a 29.35% chance from New Orleans and 13.87% from Milwaukee.

Summary

Dybantsa Funding

AJ Dybantsa, a wing seen as the top shot-creator, receives funding from Ryan Smith’s NIL deal while Utah hopes to add him to a core with Markkanen, Jackson Jr., George and Bailey.
Memphis holds 2029 swap rights with the Magic, Orlando’s 2030 pick, and 2030 rights with Washington or Phoenix.
Trading Jackson Jr. and Bane, the Grizzlies may target Acuff Jr., Flemings or Wagler and negotiate a Ja Morant deal.

Summary

Mourning Returns

The 2026 NBA Draft will be held June 23-24 at Brooklyn’s Barclays Center.
Alonzo Mourning returns as Miami’s on-court lottery representative for the fourth time, while assistant GM Adam Simon handles duties.
The Heat, entering as the 13th seed, have a 4.8 % chance to rise into the top four, a 1 % chance at No. 1 overall, and would field seven recent first-round picks—the most since the 1992-93 roster—if they remain at No. 13.

History

Historical Context

The NBA introduced its draft lottery in May 1985, using an envelope draw that gave each of the seven non-playoff teams an equal chance; the New York Knicks won and selected Patrick Ewing. The 2026 lottery uses a lottery system audited by Ernst & Young, aired on ABC, and gives the Wizards, Pacers and Nets a 14 % chance at the No. 1 pick.

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NBA Draft Lottery

The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery occurs Sunday, May 10 at 3 p.m., drawing four picks from 14 ping-pong balls, yielding 1,001 combos.
The Wizards, Pacers and Nets have a 14% chance at No. 1; the Jazz and Kings 11.5%; the Grizzlies 9%; Hawks (via New Orleans) 6.8%.
Ernst & Young audits the Chicago draw, ABC will televise it, and it is the final lottery before a 3-2-1 system could change odds next season.

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