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Kocher Signals June Rate Rise, Cites Inflation, Energy, Iran Risks

5/11/2026

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Summary

Story summary

ECB Council member Martin Kocher said it must raise rates soon if inflation does not improve and cannot avoid a move before the June 11 meeting if energy prices stay high.
A Bloomberg survey expects two quarter-point hikes in June and September and inflation at 2.9%, reaching 2% by 2028.
Kocher warned a prolonged Iran conflict could trigger effects and stagflation risk, noting markets price 80% odds of a June hike.

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Story summary

ECB Council member Martin Kocher said it must raise rates soon if inflation does not improve and cannot avoid a move before the June 11 meeting if energy prices stay high.
A Bloomberg survey expects two quarter-point hikes in June and September and inflation at 2.9%, reaching 2% by 2028.
Kocher warned a prolonged Iran conflict could trigger effects and stagflation risk, noting markets price 80% odds of a June hike.