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Becerra Leads Odds, Hilton Leads Polls as Swalwell Quits

5/12/2026

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Becerra Leads Odds

Betting markets rate Xavier Becerra at a 49 % chance to win, contrasting polls that place Steve Hilton ahead.
Xavier Becerra currently leads betting odds to become California’s governor in the 2026 election.
SurveyUSA and CBS/YouGov polls show Steve Hilton ahead with 20 % or 16 % support, 4 % margin.
Eric Swalwell withdrew from primary on April 12 after sexual-assault allegations, resigned from Congress, denying accusations.

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Becerra Leads

Democratic activists are urging supporters to wait until Election Day to submit ballots, warning it could strain California’s vote-counting process.
Former Health Secretary Xavier Becerra has a 49 % chance of winning the California governor’s race on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Katie Evans-Reber will deliver ballot to a county office on Election Day, fearing mail delays.
Gavin Newsom and Rob Bonta call the late-voting posts unlawful misinformation that may delay results.

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Becerra Leads Odds

Betting markets rate Xavier Becerra at a 49 % chance to win, contrasting polls that place Steve Hilton ahead.
Xavier Becerra currently leads betting odds to become California’s governor in the 2026 election.
SurveyUSA and CBS/YouGov polls show Steve Hilton ahead with 20 % or 16 % support, 4 % margin.
Eric Swalwell withdrew from primary on April 12 after sexual-assault allegations, resigned from Congress, denying accusations.

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