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AOC Leads Democratic Primary Poll, Rules Out Presidential Run

5/13/2026

29 6 Full Breakdown

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Ocasio-Cortez Leads
  • The AtlasIntel poll, deemed most accurate in recent elections, uniquely placed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ahead of all other Democratic contenders.
  • The May 4-7, 2025 AtlasIntel poll of U.S. adults showed Ocasio-Cortez leading with 26% support among Democratic primary voters.
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez told David Axelrod she will not run for president, focusing on single-payer healthcare.
  • Kalshi and Polymarket gave Ocasio-Cortez an 8% win chance, behind Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris.
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