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Kremlin drafts cease-fire, eyes Donbas occupation by autumn

5/13/2026

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Story summary
  • Russian military leaders persuaded President Vladimir Putin that Moscow can occupy the Donbas region by autumn, prompting the Kremlin to draft cease-fire terms.
  • The Kremlin’s aim to control Kyiv, Dnipro and Odesa is underscored by Ukrainian intelligence’s warning that a Donbas victory could spur demands for Zaporizhzhia and Kherson.
  • Kyiv and Moscow remain skeptical that U.S.-mediated peace talks will succeed.
  • Ukraine expresses frustration with Washington’s limited ability to pressure Russia.