Story perspectives

Markets Favor Democrats in NC, NH; GOP Leads IA, TX

5/13/2026

Summary

Story summary

Markets show Democrats ahead in North Carolina and New Hampshire while Republicans lead in Iowa and Texas.
In North Carolina, former Governor Roy Cooper leads former Republican National Committee (RNC) chair Michael Whatley by mid- to high-single-digit points, with Democrats priced at 83-84%.
In Michigan and Maine, markets favor Democrats at 73% and 71-79%, while polls show Republican Mike Rogers ahead in Michigan and Governor Janet Mills withdrew on April 30.

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Story summary

Markets show Democrats ahead in North Carolina and New Hampshire while Republicans lead in Iowa and Texas.
In North Carolina, former Governor Roy Cooper leads former Republican National Committee (RNC) chair Michael Whatley by mid- to high-single-digit points, with Democrats priced at 83-84%.
In Michigan and Maine, markets favor Democrats at 73% and 71-79%, while polls show Republican Mike Rogers ahead in Michigan and Governor Janet Mills withdrew on April 30.