Drooid Logo
Back to story perspectives

Full Breakdown

Amazon Deforestation Declines While Wildfires Surge in 2025-2026

5/15/2026, 2:15:57 AM

Deforestation Down, Fires Up

Imazon’s satellite analysis shows that from August 2025 to March 2026 the Amazon lost 1,460 km² of forest, a 36 % year-on-year decline. The drop stems from cuts in Pará (-52 %) and Mato Grosso (-38 %). Meanwhile, wildfire detections across the biome rose about 33 %, and March 2026 saw a 17 % rise in cleared area.

Roraima: A State of Rising Loss

Roraima is the sole state where deforestation grew, expanding 21 % to 222 km². Seven of the ten municipalities with the most fire detections were there, and Caracaraí alone accounted for a quarter of those fires, prompting a police probe into illegal burning. Climate favours fire-prone activities such as logging.

Key Numbers

Imazon reports total Amazon deforestation of 1,460 km² (-36 % YoY). Pará, Mato Grosso declined, while Roraima rose 222 km² (+21 %). Wildfire detections rose 33 % biome-wide, and March 2026 cleared 196 km² (+17 % YoY).

Government Response

Environment Minister Marina Silva credits the First Action Plan for the Control of the Environment in the Amazon, tighter fire-management rules and reinforced Ibama operations. Imazon’s satellite system, active since 2008, provides near-daily deforestation alerts.

Criticism and Political Context

Greenpeace Brazil’s Ana Clis Ferreira warned the decline is “fragile” and that “destruction occurs quicker than protection.” She said the election year makes enforcement sensitive and that Congress poses a “threat to environmental protection.” The agency also noted dry-season spikes.

On-the-Ground Situation

Authorities confirm illegal fires in Caracaraí have burned for three years, prompting a police investigation. Residents say the drier climate has intensified logging and slash-and-burn agriculture, driving both fire counts and forest loss.

Conflicting Trends & Gaps

The overall 36 % drop masks a 21 % rise in Roraima and a 17 % March increase, showing uneven progress. Protected area Triunfo do Xingu lost 35 km², highlighting enforcement gaps.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “In general, when you see not only a pattern, but a trend in reducing deforestation, it means that sort of the actions taken by the government usually are in the right direction,” — Paulo Brando, Yale
  • “History shows us that this decrease can be fragile, and that destruction occurs quicker than protection,” — Ana Clis Ferreira, Greenpeace Brazil
  • “Larissa Amorim, a researcher at the Brazilian Human and Environment Amazon Institute, said the March numbers should serve as a sign for governments to further intensify the fight against illegal deforestation, with oversight and punishment for the offenders.” — Larissa Amorim, Imazon
  • “We have to be aware that moving from cutting the size of Connecticut every year to cutting the size of my home state of Rhode Island every year is progress, but it’s still going to mow down the rest of the forest eventually,” — Stephen Porder, Brown University

Outlook

The decline offers a tentative climate-mitigation win, but rising fires and state-level setbacks highlight the need for stronger enforcement, especially ahead of Brazil’s 2026 elections. Researchers urge expanded bio-economic projects—such as açaí and Brazil-nut production—to provide alternatives to forest clearing. Ongoing satellite monitoring and rapid fire response will be essential to sustain progress.