Trump’s Hispanic Approval Rating Plummets Ahead of 2026 Midterms

A Pew Research Center American Trends Panel survey of 5,103 U.S. adults conducted April 20-26 2026 found that only 66 percent of Hispanic voters who backed Donald Trump in 2024 now approve of his job performance, down from 93 percent in February 2025 and 75 percent in January 2026. Among all Hispanic adults, overall approval sits at 22 percent.

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Hispanic voters have long leaned Democratic, but the 2024 presidential race narrowed to a 5-point margin: 51 percent for Kamala Harris versus 46 percent for Trump, according to CNN exit polls. The shift follows a gradual rightward drift from 66 percent supporting Hillary Clinton in 2016 and 65 percent backing Joe Biden in 2020.

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Other recent surveys show lower Hispanic approval. An Atlas Intel poll (May 4-7, 2,069 respondents) recorded 37 percent approval and 63 percent disapproval. A CNN poll (April 30-May 4, 1,499 respondents) found 23 percent approve and 77 percent disapprove. Non-Hispanic Trump voters’ approval fell to 79 percent.

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The decline threatens GOP plans that rely on Hispanic votes in newly drawn districts. In South Texas, District 28 (Rep. Henry Cuellar), District 34 (Rep. Vicente Gonzalez) and District 35 (Rep. Greg Casar) were reshaped to favor Republicans; a collapse of Hispanic support could keep Democrats in those seats and make the Republican-held District 15 (Rep. Monica De La Cruz) and the open District 23 competitive. Similar vulnerabilities exist in Florida’s newly drawn districts that depend on Hispanic turnout. Historically, a president with low approval sees his party lose congressional seats, adding risk for Republicans.

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White House spokesperson Allison Schuster said the administration appreciates the record Hispanic backing in 2024 and emphasizes ongoing efforts to improve their lives.

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Republican strategist Mike Madrid describes the shift as a “de-alignment,” arguing it reflects a move away from the Democratic Party rather than a new Republican base.

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Pew’s 66 percent approval among Hispanic Trump voters contrasts sharply with Atlas Intel’s 37 percent and CNN’s 23 percent figures, highlighting methodological differences and a lack of consensus on the size of the decline.

Pew Research

“honored to receive a record level of support from Hispanic Americans” — Allison Schuster, White House spokesperson

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“spent every day since his inauguration working to make life better for them.” — Allison Schuster, White House spokesperson

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“I was very critical of that term. I characterize it as a de-alignment,” — Mike Madrid, GOP strategist

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“There has been this sort of rightward shift going on for the better part of a decade now. But this is more a movement away from the Democratic Party than it is a movement towards the Republican Party.” — Mike Madrid, GOP strategist

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The 2026 midterm elections, slated for November, will test whether the Hispanic swing persists. Additional polling and possible legal challenges to the new district maps are expected as campaigns intensify.

Newsweek