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10-Year Yield Near 4.6% as Officials Warn 5% Spike

5/17/2026

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Story summary
  • 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.595 % on May 16 2026, a one-year high.
  • Treasury sold a 30-year bond at 5.127 % on May 14 2026, highest since 2007.
  • Deputy National Security Advisor Daleep Singh warned a 10-year yield could exceed 5 % and urged Treasury buybacks and maturities.
  • Investors see a 50 % chance of a Fed hike in 2026 or early 2027.
  • IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack warned on May 15 2026 Iran war could lower growth and raise inflation.