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Cooper Leads 83% to Flip NC Seat, Aiding Democrats

5/17/2026

23 5 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Markets give Democrat Roy Cooper an 83% chance to win North Carolina Senate race.
  • A May 10-11 2026 survey of 600 voters shows Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley by 11, while spokesperson DJ Griffin says the race remains neck and neck.
  • President Donald Trump has a 41.5% approval and 56.6% disapproval in North Carolina, while Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, which requires Democrats flip four seats to gain control.