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Australia trims wheat exports by 10 Mt, global deficit looming

5/19/2026

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Story summary
  • Australia may export up to 10 million fewer tons of wheat, trimming 5 % of global supplies.
  • Growers are cutting planting area and fertilizer because drought and soaring input prices lower harvests.
  • Analysts project a 7-20 % cut in planted area and a 16-41 % drop in output, shrinking the crop to 21 million tons.
  • Argentina and Canada plan smaller plantings, which could shift the market from surplus to deficit and lift prices.