Trump’s Nationwide Approval Rating Map Shows Deep Underwater Status Ahead of Midterms

According to a rolling poll, President Donald Trump’s national approval stands at 38 percent versus 58 percent disapproval, a net –20. State results show the strongest support in Wyoming (59 % approve, 35 % disapprove) and West Virginia (55 %/37 %). Similar majorities appear in North Dakota, Oklahoma, Idaho and Tennessee. In “lean-red” states the margins narrow: Indiana (49 %/45 %), Kansas (49 %/44 %) and Mississippi (49 %/46 %); Missouri and Nebraska are essentially tied, while Kentucky and Louisiana edge slightly underwater. All major battleground states register negative balances: Arizona (42 %/53 %), North Carolina (41 %/55 %), Pennsylvania (41 %/54 %), Wisconsin (41 %/55 %), Michigan (38 %/57 %), Nevada (37 %/56 %) and Georgia (37 %/57 %). Deep-blue states on the West Coast and Northeast show overwhelming disapproval, with Hawaii at 77 % disapprove, Vermont 76 %, Maryland 72 % and Massachusetts 70 %; approval rarely exceeds 30 % in these states.

Newsweek

President Trump took office in January 2025 after winning roughly 80 million votes in the 2024 election, a figure the administration cites as a mandate. While he enjoys strong Republican backing, his support beyond the party base remains limited, a dynamic shaping his presidency as midterm elections approach. The poll relies on a large in-house panel and statistical modeling to generate rolling estimates rather than a single snapshot, according to the survey’s methodology description.

Newsweek

The poll reveals sharp demographic divides. Seventy percent of voters aged 18-34 disapprove versus 23 % approve; women disapprove by over 30 points while men are near parity. Approval falls from 41 % among non-college graduates to 25 % among post-graduates. Independents show 31 % approval and 61 % disapproval.

Newsweek

Negative approval in every swing state leaves the electoral map fluid; modest deficits could shift under changing conditions. A modest swing among independents, younger voters, or women could alter the balance of power in the House and Senate, shaping the legislative agenda for the remainder of Trump’s term.

Newsweek

The White House downplays the poll, emphasizing the 2024 election victory as the clearest sign of public backing. Spokesperson Davis Ingle noted that roughly 80 million Americans voted for Trump, framing that outcome as the administration’s primary mandate. The administration argues that the election result supersedes short-term polling fluctuations.

Newsweek

Opponents cite high disapproval among independents, younger voters and women as evidence of broad resistance to Trump’s agenda. The overwhelming opposition in deep-blue states, combined with unfavorable demographic trends, raises concerns that his policy initiatives may encounter substantial public pushback in upcoming elections.

Newsweek