Back to today’s briefing

Story perspectives

Lander Leads 94% Prediction Markets in Democratic Primary

5/22/2026

39 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Prediction markets give Brad Lander a 94% chance of defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 10th Congressional District.
An Emerson College poll of 450 likely voters on May 16-17 shows Brad Lander at 57% support versus 23% for Dan Goldman, with a ±4.6-point margin of error.
Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic Socialists of America member, has endorsed Brad Lander, adding notable progressive backing.

1 of 1

Story summary

Prediction markets give Brad Lander a 94% chance of defeating incumbent Dan Goldman in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 10th Congressional District.
An Emerson College poll of 450 likely voters on May 16-17 shows Brad Lander at 57% support versus 23% for Dan Goldman, with a ±4.6-point margin of error.
Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic Socialists of America member, has endorsed Brad Lander, adding notable progressive backing.