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Full Breakdown

US-Iran Talks Edge Toward a Deal to End War and Reopen Hormuz

5/25/2026, 12:20:42 AM

Core Negotiation Overview

The United States and Iran are negotiating a memorandum of understanding that would formally end the war launched on Feb. 28, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and set a 60-day cease-fire extension while deferring detailed talks on Iran’s highly enriched uranium (HEU) stockpile. No final text has been signed.

Background & Context

The war began after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, prompting Tehran to close Hormuz and the United States to blockade Iranian ports. President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei have led the talks, with Pakistani army chief Asim Munir mediating and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu consulted.

Data & Statistics

Iran holds 440.9 kg (972 lb) of uranium enriched to 60 percent, a short step from weapons-grade. The strait carries roughly 20 % of global oil and LNG; traffic fell about 90 % after closure.

On-the-Ground Impact

Global oil prices have more than doubled since Hormuz closure, pushing U.S. gasoline above $4.50 per gallon. The war has killed 13 U.S. service members and thousands in the region.

Official Statements & Responses

Trump posted that talks are “orderly and constructive” and warned his team not to rush a deal, adding the blockade will stay until a certified agreement. Rubio said “significant progress, although not final progress, has been made” and noted a possible toll-free Hormuz. Baghaei reported “narrowing differences” but stressed ending the war on all fronts.

Criticism & Opposition

Senators Lindsey Graham, Roger Wicker, and Ted Cruz warned the draft could leave Iran dominant, calling a 60-day ceasefire a “disaster” and a “nightmare for Israel.” Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo labeled the terms “not remotely America First,” likening them to the 2015 JCPOA. Israeli officials echoed concerns about reduced freedom of action.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

U.S. officials cite an “apparent commitment” by Iran to surrender its HEU, while Iranian state media (Fars, Tasnim) state the nuclear issue is not part of the current framework and that Hormuz will remain under Iranian management. Details on uranium disposal, sanctions relief, and navigation rules remain unsettled.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “Both sides must take their time and get it right. There can be no mistakes!” — Donald Trump, President of the United States
  • “An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries,” — Donald Trump, President of the United States
  • “significant progress, although not final progress, has been made” — Marco Rubio, U.S. Secretary of State
  • “The trend this week has been towards a reduction in disputes, but there are still issues that need to be discussed through mediators.” — Esmail Baghaei, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson

What’s Next

The MoU must be certified by President Trump, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, and regional partners. A 60-day ceasefire and a 30- to 60-day negotiation window are expected.