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U.S. Forecasts 82% El Niño, 33% Super, Kansas Awaits Rain

5/28/2026

Summary

U.S. Forecasts El Niño

The U.S. forecasts an 82% chance of El Niño and a 33% chance of a super.
State climatologist Matthew Sittel says temperatures 1.5–2 °C above normal indicate an El Niño, while 2 °C signals a super.
Service meteorologist Andy Kleinsasser says a strong El Niño likely brings cooler, wetter summer weather to Kansas.
Meteorologist Redmond says Wichita is a “battleground” where El Niño rain would be needed to offset drought, but cold spells could still occur.

Summary

Merryfield Warns

Bill Merryfield of Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) warns El Niño droughts are tightening food supply in India and SE Asia.
Anthony Farnell says producers could face higher grocery prices as Liz Stephens warns yields will raise food prices and worsen poverty amid the Middle East crisis.
Crucial predicts an 85 % chance of El Niño and a 45 % chance of super event, while NOAA gives a 66 % chance of strong El Niño.

Summary

Scientists Warn

Scientists warn El Niño-driven upwelling loss will weaken California kelp forests.
Climate Prediction Center gives 82% of El Niño by July and 96% Dec 2026-Feb 2027.
International Bird Rescue in Fairfield treated 288 seabirds while dead birds washed ashore in Southern California.
Climate Central says 45% of the Pacific now faces conditions more likely due to human warming.
Monterey Bay Aquarium notes warmer waters drive jellyfish, crabs and other marine life toward cooler habitats.

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U.S. Forecasts El Niño

The U.S. forecasts an 82% chance of El Niño and a 33% chance of a super.
State climatologist Matthew Sittel says temperatures 1.5–2 °C above normal indicate an El Niño, while 2 °C signals a super.
Service meteorologist Andy Kleinsasser says a strong El Niño likely brings cooler, wetter summer weather to Kansas.
Meteorologist Redmond says Wichita is a “battleground” where El Niño rain would be needed to offset drought, but cold spells could still occur.

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