Full Breakdown
Trump’s State Approval Ratings Slip in Second Term
6/1/2026, 9:02:30 PM
Background & Context
President Donald Trump began his second term on Jan. 20, 2025. A Civiqs rolling poll of more than 107,000 registered voters tracks approval over time. The latest estimates (May 26, 2026) show a political map that still mirrors the traditional partisan split, but the margins of net approval have narrowed in every state.
State Approval Shifts
Civiqs’ rolling poll of >107,000 registered voters shows President Donald Trump’s net approval fell in every state between Jan. 20 2025 and May 26 2026. The sharpest drops occurred in both Republican strongholds and battlegrounds. Net advantage changes include: Wyoming +47->+22 (-25), Kentucky +23->0 (-23), Nebraska +18->-4 (-22), Alaska +9->-12 (-21), Florida +9->-12 (-21), Oklahoma +31->+10 (-21), Nevada 0->-20 (-20), Maine -12->-31 (-19), Ohio +8->-11 (-19), Utah +20->+1 (-19). Idaho, Tennessee and Montana each lost about 19 points; Kansas and West Virginia fell 18 points. Florida, Ohio, Nevada and Nebraska shifted from positive or neutral to negative net approval, turning traditionally competitive states underwater.
Data & Statistics
The Civiqs tracker uses continuous online surveying and statistical modeling to produce smoothed trends. Net approval equals approve minus disapprove. Nationwide, approval fell 10-14 points while disapproval rose 8-11 points. Wyoming illustrates the two-way shift: approval dropped from 72 % to 58 % (-14) and disapproval rose from 25 % to 36 % (+11), turning a +47 net lead into +22.
Why It Matters
The erosion of support in Republican states and the shift of battlegrounds into negative territory weakens the president’s overall mandate and may complicate the administration’s efforts to advance its agenda. Narrower margins also increase the strategic importance of swing states for future elections.
Official Statements & Responses
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle dismissed the polling trend as insignificant, citing nearly 80 million voters who chose Trump in 2024 as the clearest evidence of public support. He framed the election result as an “overriding verdict” on the administration’s agenda, arguing the poll data do not alter the president’s mandate.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
The Civiqs decline contrasts with the White House’s claim that the 2024 election outcome supersedes any poll snapshot. The article offers no alternative polling sources or detailed demographic breakdowns beyond age, education and party affiliation, leaving gaps in understanding how specific voter groups are shifting.
What’s Next
Civiqs will keep its rolling survey through the term’s end, and the 2026 midterm elections will test whether the observed approval declines translate into electoral losses for Trump-aligned candidates.
